Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-01 0.028261 0.030337 0.032503 0.034933 0.037588 0.040403 0.043620
2025-06-08 0.024379 0.027264 0.030427 0.034163 0.038471 0.043301 0.049153
2025-06-15 0.021941 0.025298 0.029118 0.033811 0.039456 0.046069 0.054467
2025-06-22 0.020140 0.023795 0.028080 0.033514 0.040282 0.048507 0.059378
2025-06-29 0.018550 0.022362 0.026942 0.032909 0.040561 0.050158 0.063287
2025-07-06 0.017668 0.021695 0.026646 0.033260 0.041978 0.053244 0.069179
2025-07-13 0.016765 0.020921 0.026135 0.033254 0.042873 0.055642 0.074261
2025-07-20 0.016133 0.020439 0.025945 0.033622 0.044242 0.058710 0.080441
2025-07-27 0.015355 0.019713 0.025378 0.033422 0.044787 0.060634 0.085082
2025-08-03 0.014652 0.019040 0.024833 0.033201 0.045257 0.062442 0.089638
2025-08-10 0.014022 0.018429 0.024331 0.032996 0.045713 0.064223 0.094243
2025-08-17 0.013477 0.017904 0.023915 0.032877 0.046266 0.066153 0.099189
2025-08-24 0.012850 0.017242 0.023280 0.032412 0.046285 0.067287 0.102977
2025-08-31 0.012231 0.016562 0.022587 0.031822 0.046073 0.068038 0.106178
2025-09-07 0.011746 0.016053 0.022113 0.031527 0.046284 0.069450 0.110572
2025-09-14 0.011305 0.015585 0.021676 0.031260 0.046515 0.070888 0.115099
2025-09-21 0.010814 0.015024 0.021075 0.030705 0.046245 0.071473 0.118140
2025-09-28 0.010594 0.014851 0.021041 0.031028 0.047404 0.074498 0.125805
2025-10-05 0.010300 0.014557 0.020811 0.031023 0.048015 0.076616 0.131955
2025-10-12 0.010111 0.014411 0.020798 0.031361 0.049210 0.079811 0.140402
2025-10-19 0.009805 0.014075 0.020475 0.031178 0.049502 0.081418 0.145887
2025-10-26 0.009511 0.013746 0.020151 0.030974 0.049743 0.082937 0.151311
2025-11-02 0.009236 0.013437 0.019846 0.030786 0.049994 0.084482 0.156903